It goes without saying, DVDs/BlueRays.
I have no idea but hopefully the ‘Proprietary’ branch of human technology is discontinued.
If things continue on the path they’re already on, it will get worse, sadly. At least that’s my opinion. I really hope it dies out.
ha fat chance. unless capitalism collapses in 10 years.
which ha, fat chance.
I don’t know about DVDs, nearly 2 decades ago I thought optical media was dead and yet somehow it’s still here.
All of it, humanity will be wiped out in the Second Emu War, and birds don’t need phones.
Birds aren’t real
Hopefully fax machines, but these things seem incapable of dying.
German government has entered the
chatlandlineUnless you’re trying to use one. Then they’re always broken.
Fun? Fact, I’m in my mid twenties and have never used them.
I thought disks were dead 10 years ago
Discs**
Disks continue to be the most efficient way to store bonkers amounts of data.
Disks refers to magnetic storage or solid state flash storage.
Discs refers to optical media.
While optical is still king for physical distribution of media to the masses due to its low cost of production, the rise of streaming will certainly be the thing that rips physical ownership from the hands of the people.
Dont stop buying DVDs or Blurays
Sorry for the spelling
Well, I was born in 2000. When I was growing up, DVDs were everywhere. Almost all books that require supplimentary materials would include a DVD with it, we would buy all kinds of games in DVDs. DVD almost gave a feeling of storing the data physically somewhere, like you would include a DVD in a photo album that contains videos, photos were developed and put in albums and so were DVDs because you cannot really develop and watch videos.
DVDs were a part of our culture growing up and as much as I love DVDs, the times are changing and we need to change with it. We need to make peace with the current technology, whatever little it takes from us, it gives 10fold in return. A flash drive takes in that feeling of owning a DVD while providing 10x storage.
I see kids these days prefer sending files over google drive from one device to another near each other because they are too lazy to care about using wires. Funny how technological advancements have changed how people think.
I dont really believe streaming services have much to do with DVDs because people will find a way to download and listen to their favourite songs anyways.
Windows for home consumers/home PCs hopefully.
The way shit is headed, probably vaccines.
*in the US
I believe it’s propagating outside of the US
No, we have a vaccine for that.
Social security and pensions I think.
I don’t know of any millennial or younger who assumes there will be a safety net for them at the end of the road. We just don’t trust those in charge to keep it. I’ll fight for it, I paid into it and I want others to have it, but I can’t bank on it either
There’s simply no way to keep pensions. It’s like a big pyramid scheme where new people are putting the money and old people are enjoying them; the problem is that old people are growing and they’ve been living longer, and young people are less and less.
The problem is the owners don’t pay their fair share, nothing else.
Productivity has risen to cover everything.
Social media as we know.
Tablets.
The market for them is very thin. With phones getting bigger and convertible laptops being more lightweight I don’t see much market for tablets.
Which is a shame because it’s s good format for comic reading and more durable than a convertible laptop (they always break by the hinges) but I think in ten years it will be quite hard to find a tablet for sale.
Unless digital artists are replaced with AI entirely, I don’t see that happening. iPads (unfortunately) are kind of the golden standard there. If anything I expect drawing tablets without screens to disappear.
RIP PDAs with keyboard. Another form factor I miss
Honestly I would say it might go the other way with laptops disappearing and being replaced with tablets.
The operating systems and software on tablets is getting ever more capable even for productivity stuff. Add to that newer generations growing up while using mostly smartphones and maybe sometimes a computer and I believe if having to decide they would choose a tablet over a laptop. In general the line between laptops and tablets is getting a bit blurry with windows based tablet PC’s and tablets that come with a keyboard cover.
Commercial TV
Bluerays will still exist because of japanese laws. How am I supposed to get my anime without dimming if I don’t pirate bluerays?
Cash, at least in europe. In my opinion that decision would mark one of the most epic political fails in recent history but I fear, that’s what’s going to happen.
I just hope that something like GNU Taler (which keeps buyers’ privacy and forces sellers to report their earnings properly) becomes the norm, as opposed to the proprietary plastic card transactions we have now. I myself am guilty of switching to that system because cash is just insanely inconvenient, but I also recognize it’s pretty bad.
Why would it be a failure? I loved never having to carry anything but a phone in China.
- Resiliance: No (electrical) power, no servers, no transactions, no (a bit exaggerated) society.
- Full corporation surveillance. Even worse: Performed by unsupervised and proprietary algorithms.
- Following 2) full governmental surveillance.
Regarding 2 and 3, theres a qualitative difference between the chinese government mandating corporations respect privacy and not retain or use biometric data and the US doing so (with the EU somewhere in the middle, usually), and what they have historically used that data for.
Regarding 1, in the event of a total societal collapse where not even phone towers are running, I’m not sure how much utility money would have.
There are a few countries like Sweden and India that are pushing more and more towards all digital payments and slowly trying to wean off cash. I think this is terrible for a number of reasons.
The big one is I work on the side as an electrician from my day job. I get paid in cash (it’s usually only like 5-10 hours a week). I save up that money and have been paying my plumber or tile guy for work that I don’t want to tackle on my own at my house. There’s a whole undercurrent of labor and an economy that gets paid in cash that does not need uncle Sam’s prying eyes. I imagine it will be a long time before banks would stop taking cash in countries pushing for everything to be digital, but who knows.
The other reason is the more vulnerable people in society. You can’t tell me that making everything cashless and only payable via smart phone doesn’t massively screw someone over who’s homeless. A lot of people only get by via panhandling and if suddenly they can’t buy food or ride public transit without a phone that is connected to cell service, that is a massive barrier.
Lastly, all cash restaurants and bars. They’re still common in my area. Things are usually a little cheaper there and I like paying cash for a few drinks. Or like the one bar I go to is still kinda lawless haha, a PBR is $2.
Yeah those are all pretty valid. Going cashless requires a lot more from society than just giving everyone an app.
Or like the one bar I go to is still kinda lawless haha, a PBR is $2.
lmao you should see how cheap liquor is in asia.
Because iso/power failures, lost/broken devices, let alone the government doesn’t need to know every transaction, the inability to gift a displaced person $20, or money in a birthday card.
Wechat and Alipay do all that except the not keeping a record of transactions. There’s tons of food places where the entire payment system is just a printed QR code and they just tell you how much to pay so there’s nothing that can go down except the phone network and wifi.
You can also just give people money, which seems like it shouldn’t work with a credit card because it’s technically a cash advance. There’s been a dozen times where a store that requires everything go through an app so they can make you click through 3 menus advertising discounts if you buy more items wouldn’t work because I didn’t have a Chinese number or something, and the employee would put in the order, then I’d give their personal account the money.
I don’t have access to those. I’m in the Evil Empire.
3G networks
I’m going to be bold. The internal combustion engine car.
There will be a tipping point where nobody wants to maintain the highly intricate manufacturing for them, and they will stop very quickly. Electric motors are the future and the transition is accelerating. We’re currently around 20% of new sales and I expect after 60-70% ICEs will just disappear from sale.
we still see a lot of 20-40yr old cars around, many daily driven. if we suddenly stop making ice cars today, its still taking a while for them to truly go away in practical terms.
Most countries will be raising taxes on fuel even more and in general it will become less available fast: gas stations, mechanics who know how to fix the ICE old timers etc. it will become a hobby thing (like old timers today already). Certain niches will keep ICE way longer (heavy construction vehicles etc) but it will suddenly become quite rare in 20 or 30 years to see a regular old ICE driven by a regular person doing regular things like commuting or so.
carburators arent a thing in my country for at least 30 years now but plenty of people around who still know how to work on them.
become quite rare in 20 or 30 years
yea thats what i meant. ICE won’t be going anywhere at all in 10 years, but about 30 yes i can see it
For heavy construction vehicles only three main factors need to align: normal replacement schedule, enough capacity for the heaviest day (which is quite predictable in many industries,) and the charging infrastructure.
The last one is a major hurdle and is holding back EVs on all levels already. In the US it is also the least likely to see improvement anytime soon
