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return2ozma@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 10 months ago

An American tragedy: how Biden paved the way for Trump’s White House return

www.theguardian.com

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An American tragedy: how Biden paved the way for Trump’s White House return

www.theguardian.com

return2ozma@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 10 months ago
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To admirers, Biden will remain one of the most consequential one-term presidents in US history – to detractors, he was undone by a fatal flaw
  • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
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    10 months ago

    When Biden 2020 voters cast a ballot for someone besides Harris in 2024 were asked “Which one of the following issues was MOST important in deciding your vote?” they selected:

    29% - Ending Israel’s violence in Gaza
    24% - The economy
    12% - Medicare and Social Security
    11% - Immigration and border security
    10% - Healthcare
    9% - Abortion policy
    5% - Don’t know

    • LandedGentry@lemmy.zip
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      • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
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        10 months ago

        What I’m pushing back on is “it wasn’t even close”

        Maybe Gaza wasn’t the deciding factor, and obviously we can’t know for sure because this is all hindsight and because polls aren’t necessarily always perfectly accurate for the reasons you said, but I don’t think it should be dismissed. It was close.

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          • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
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            10 months ago

            By not recognizing that it was both you kind of are dismissing it.

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              • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
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                10 months ago

                If it boiled down to groceries and perceptions of the economy, then nothing else matters. That’s definitely failing to recognize it.

                It was the economy and the genocide. It was both.

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                  • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
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                    10 months ago

                    That’s what that phrase means!

                    Also, you did it again. “I said it was not a deciding factor.” This, again, is failing to recognize that the genocide was a factor.

    • suburban_hillbilly@lemmy.ml
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      • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
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        10 months ago

        She got 7 million fewer votes than Biden.

        Now I’m not saying the economy wasn’t important, I’m just countering the claim that “it wasn’t even close” - it clearly was.

        • suburban_hillbilly@lemmy.ml
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          • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
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            10 months ago

            Okay, so the poll I linked were people that voted. They cast ballots for someone other than Harris.

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              • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
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                10 months ago

                None of that reads as “wasn’t even close” to me. That looks like, actually, it was significant and it did influence a lot of voters and it shouldn’t be dismissed. 35% is not insignificant - even if, as you say, it’s hard to translate [more enthusiastic, less enthusiastic] into actual tangible votes. What we can clearly see, though, is that siding with Biden on Gaza definitely didn’t help. Only 5% of voters would have been turned off by her deciding to break with Biden on Israel. She’d have lost almost nothing and gained a lot.

                Would Harris have won if she broke with Biden? I don’t know, and I’m not saying she would! I only want to push back on the implied claim that it was irrelevant.

    • BothsidesistFraud@lemmy.world
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      Online sample of 604 voters fielded from December 20 to January 07, 2025.

      Lol

      So they polled people who were chilling on the internet over the holidays, like 6 weeks after the election

      Pardon me if I find Pew more trustworthy

      • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
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        10 months ago

        IMEU and YouGov are generally considered credible sources, but okay.

        • Eugene V. Debs' Ghost@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          You give them sources they agree with and they still ignore the facts of reality.

    • jeffw@lemmy.world
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      10 months ago

      Wild. When you dig into those poll results it is sadly clear that Kamala only would’ve won by pivoting right.

      • technocrit@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        9 months ago

        You mean beyond supporting genocide and campaigning with the cheyneys?

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